Field note · August 7, 2023
year by country: a wide spread
Real group means for one column across 30 segments, and what the pooled average conceals.
Breaking year down by country on world-indicators, because the headline average is 2,012 and no segment is actually there.
Avalonia— mean 2,012, median 2,012 (24 rows)Brasilia Nova— mean 2,012, median 2,012 (24 rows)Corvina— mean 2,012, median 2,012 (24 rows)Dunmara— mean 2,012, median 2,012 (24 rows)Eldoria— mean 2,012, median 2,012 (24 rows)Ferrovia— mean 2,012, median 2,012 (24 rows)
Top to bottom that is 2,012 against 2,012. The pooled average is 2,012.
select country,
count(*) as rows,
round(avg(year)::numeric, 2) as mean,
percentile_cont(0.5) within group (order by year) as median
from world_indicators
group by 1
order by mean desc;The groups are close enough that the pooled average is a fair summary. That is worth confirming rather than assuming: the check costs one query and the failure mode is invisible.
Notice the mean and median columns disagree only slightly here. Always compute both in the group-by. The comparison between them per segment is free and tells you whether you are looking at a level difference or a tail difference.
This is the setup for Simpson's paradox — the case where every segment moves one way and the total moves the other.