Field note · December 15, 2023
The overall average hides 6 different numbers
Real group means for one column across 6 segments, and what the pooled average conceals.
carrier splits flight-delays into 6 groups. Here is what sched_dep_hour looks like inside each.
AS— mean 13, median 13 (725 rows)WN— mean 13, median 13 (1,652 rows)UA— mean 13, median 13 (1,422 rows)AA— mean 13, median 13 (1,751 rows)B6— mean 13, median 13 (766 rows)DL— mean 12, median 13 (1,684 rows)
Top to bottom that is 13 against 12, a spread of 2.8%. The pooled average is 13.
select carrier,
count(*) as rows,
round(avg(sched_dep_hour)::numeric, 2) as mean,
percentile_cont(0.5) within group (order by sched_dep_hour) as median
from flight_delays
group by 1
order by mean desc;The groups are close enough that the pooled average is a fair summary. That is worth confirming rather than assuming: the check costs one query and the failure mode is invisible.
Notice the mean and median columns disagree only slightly here. Always compute both in the group-by. The comparison between them per segment is free and tells you whether you are looking at a level difference or a tail difference.
This is the setup for Simpson's paradox — the case where every segment moves one way and the total moves the other.