Field note · September 6, 2023
age by arm: a 1% spread
Real group means for one column across 2 segments, and what the pooled average conceals.
Breaking age down by arm on clinical-trial, because the headline average is 53 and no segment is actually there.
placebo— mean 54, median 53 (450 rows)treatment— mean 53, median 53 (450 rows)
Top to bottom that is 54 against 53, a spread of 1.2%. The pooled average is 53.
select arm,
count(*) as rows,
round(avg(age)::numeric, 2) as mean,
percentile_cont(0.5) within group (order by age) as median
from clinical_trial
group by 1
order by mean desc;The groups are close enough that the pooled average is a fair summary. That is worth confirming rather than assuming: the check costs one query and the failure mode is invisible.
Notice the mean and median columns disagree only slightly here. Always compute both in the group-by. The comparison between them per segment is free and tells you whether you are looking at a level difference or a tail difference.
This is the setup for Simpson's paradox — the case where every segment moves one way and the total moves the other.